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Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Jiangxi procuratorate prosecuted Gao Zhunhu's suspected bribery case according to law. Recently, Gao Zhunhu (deputy department level), former deputy secretary and vice chairman of Jingdezhen CPPCC in Jiangxi Province, was under the jurisdiction of Jiangxi Provincial People's Procuratorate, and Pingxiang Municipal People's Procuratorate filed a public prosecution with Pingxiang Intermediate People's Court according to law. The case is being further processed. At the stage of examination and prosecution, the procuratorate informed the defendant Gao Zhuhu of his litigation rights according to law, interrogated the defendant according to law and listened to the opinions of the defenders. The Pingxiang Municipal People's Procuratorate sued the accusation: the defendant Gao Zhuhu used to be the secretary, deputy secretary and director of the Party Working Committee of Jingdezhen Ceramic Industrial Park, the secretary of the Party Working Committee of Jingdezhen Central City Changnan Development Zone, the party secretary and chairman of Jingdezhen Urban Construction and Development Investment Co., Ltd., the party secretary and chairman of Jingdezhen Urban Construction Investment Group Co., Ltd., and the party working Committee secretary of Jingdezhen Changnan New District. Jingdezhen High-tech Industrial Development Zone, deputy secretary of the Party Working Committee, director of the management committee and other positions, seek benefits for others, illegally accept other people's property, the amount is particularly huge, and should be investigated for criminal responsibility for accepting bribes according to law.

Shen Wanhongyuan: "Vigorously boosting consumption" is the first task of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Shen Wanhongyuan released a research opinion saying that in this Central Economic Work Conference, it can be seen that boosting consumption has once again become the top priority in 2025. The "two innovations" and "two heavyweights" in 2024 are important points of economic work. "Two Innovations" means to promote a new round of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and "Two Innovations" means to implement major national strategies and build safety capacity in key areas, and continue to pay attention to the efforts of fiscal policies including extra-long special national debt in this field.On the 13th, caustic soda dropped by 3.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract caustic soda 2501 closed, with a turnover of 57,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 1,383 lots. The total contract turnover of caustic soda futures was 94,800 lots, an increase of 27,900 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 71,100 lots, an increase of 2,202 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 72,700 lots, an increase of 1,157 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)

On the 13th, silver fell by 1.91%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract silver was 2,502, up or down by -1.91%, with a turnover of 1,004,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 30,444 lots. The total turnover of silver futures contracts was 1,505,900 lots, an increase of 417,500 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 335,600 lots, a decrease of 15,200 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 251,300 lots, an increase of 17,500 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)FTSE China A50 index futures fell 2%.On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)